Chapter four of Isaac Asimovs\u00a0“The Psychohistorians”, <\/em>contains a discussion of modeling that is applicable to the creation and reception of current models. The character Seldon reveals to his new acquaintance Gaal that Gaal is being followed. This is due to both of their involvement with the usage of a type of model, called psychohistory, that predicts the collapse of their dystopian government. The most important take away is that Seldon recognizes the power of his model, the value of Gaal’s (though its error is decently large), and the implications of the data yielded by both. Modelers must be conscious of the type of data and parameters they are using, so they may be conscious of their outputs. In Seldon’s case, their conclusions clash with the government’s hope to keep the public in the dark. A parallel in our world could be the models of climate change. The scientists in our world have warned us of the repercussions for ignoring their model’s finding, but many still chose to ignore them due to conflicts of interest.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Chapter four of Isaac Asimovs “The Psychohistorians”, contains a discussion of modeling that is applicable to the creation and reception of current models. The character Seldon reveals to his new acquaintance Gaal that Gaal is being followed. This is due to both of their involvement with the usage of a type of model, called psychohistory, that … <\/p>\n

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